NOTHING EVER HAPPENS ●

contrarian NO-tail harvester · kalshi · politics / world
DRY RUN · paper PROD DATA NO band 75–92¢ live · refresh in 60s
Paper bankroll
$200.00
cash free $0.29
Open exposure
$199.71
100% of $200 cap
Unrealized P&L
+$0.07
+0.04% on cost
Realized P&L
+$0.00
0 settled · 0 won
Diversification
9 / 9
positions across events · cap 1
Equity — paper, mark-to-market +0.07

Open positions

buy NO · hold to resolution
MarketEntryNowQtyCostUnreal.
Donald Trump out before 2027?
KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJT politics
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Donald Trump out before 2027?
KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJTtheme US domestic politicsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in
KXPRESNOMD-28-KH elections
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in
KXPRESNOMD-28-KHtheme Elections / seatsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250
KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01 politics
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250
KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01theme US domestic politicsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let
KXAMEND22-29-JAN01 politics
89¢90¢28 $24.92+$0.28
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let
KXAMEND22-29-JAN01theme US domestic politicsentry 89¢now 90¢qty 28cost $24.92unreal +$0.28
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Pr
KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC elections
92¢91¢27 $24.84−$0.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Pr
KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOCtheme Elections / seatsentry 92¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal −$0.27
Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Co
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220 elections
91¢91¢27 $24.57+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Co
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal +$0.00
Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120
KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45 elections
91¢91¢27 $24.57+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120
KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal +$0.00
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1
KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210 elections
91¢91¢27 $24.57+$0.00
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1
KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal +$0.00
Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?
KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCA elections
86¢89¢2 $1.72+$0.06
Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?
KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCAtheme Elections / seatsentry 86¢now 89¢qty 2cost $1.72unreal +$0.06

Live scan — candidates

756 in band · top by NO ask × volume
MarketNO askNO bidVol 24hOICloses
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
92¢88 1,848,701480,119 2027-01-01 would buy
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27NO ask 92¢NO bid 88spread 4¢vol 24h 1,848,701OI 480,119closes 2027-01-01would buy
When will marijuana be rescheduled?
KXMJSCHEDULE-27
92¢90 823,614246,567 2027-01-01 would buy
When will marijuana be rescheduled?
KXMJSCHEDULE-27NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread 2¢vol 24h 823,614OI 246,567closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?
KXATTYGENNY-26-R
92¢91 397,827278,598 2027-11-03 would buy
Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in New York?
KXATTYGENNY-26-RNO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread 1¢vol 24h 397,827OI 278,598closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?
KXELECTIONEMERGENCY-26NOV04
92¢90 275,137124,572 2026-11-04 would buy
Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Nov 4, 2026?
KXELECTIONEMERGENCY-26NOV04NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread 2¢vol 24h 275,137OI 124,572closes 2026-11-04would buy
Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
RSENATESEATS-27-E45
92¢91 237,582155,284 2027-02-01 would buy
Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
RSENATESEATS-27-E45NO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread 1¢vol 24h 237,582OI 155,284closes 2027-02-01would buy
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan
GOVPARTYMI-26-R
92¢92 218,139145,746 2027-11-03 would buy
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan
GOVPARTYMI-26-RNO ask 92¢NO bid 92spread 0¢vol 24h 218,139OI 145,746closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P7
92¢90 198,78954,328 2027-11-03 would buy
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 7 percentage points?
KXMIDTERMMOV-TXSEND-P7NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread 2¢vol 24h 198,789OI 54,328closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
KXDOED-29-JAN20
92¢87 164,79426,004 2029-01-20 would buy
Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 20, 2029?
KXDOED-29-JAN20NO ask 92¢NO bid 87spread 5¢vol 24h 164,794OI 26,004closes 2029-01-20would buy
Will Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027?
KXOMARCITIZENSHIP-27-IOMA
92¢90 158,057110,930 2027-01-01 would buy
Will Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027?
KXOMARCITIZENSHIP-27-IOMANO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread 2¢vol 24h 158,057OI 110,930closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
KXCANTERRITORY-29
92¢89 149,32136,904 2029-01-21 would buy
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
KXCANTERRITORY-29NO ask 92¢NO bid 89spread 3¢vol 24h 149,321OI 36,904closes 2029-01-21would buy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?
KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-27
92¢90 136,90247,592 2027-01-01 would buy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?
KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-27NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread 2¢vol 24h 136,902OI 47,592closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will Republican win the House race for WA-3?
HOUSEWA3-26-R
92¢91 123,47591,750 2027-11-03 would buy
Will Republican win the House race for WA-3?
HOUSEWA3-26-RNO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread 1¢vol 24h 123,475OI 91,750closes 2027-11-03would buy

Concentration

by correlation theme
Elections / seats$125.11 · 63%
US domestic politics$74.60 · 37%
!

63% in one theme. Per-event cap is holding, but these positions resolve off correlated states of the world. Consider a per-theme cap before lifting MAX_TOTAL.

Activity

ledger events
2026-06-25 19:15 PLACED KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCA NO ×2 @ 86¢ · $1.72
2026-06-25 19:10 PLACED KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 19:05 PLACED KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 19:00 PLACED KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 18:54 PLACED KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84
2026-06-25 18:49 PLACED KXAMEND22-29-JAN01 NO ×28 @ 89¢ · $24.92
2026-06-25 18:44 PLACED KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01 NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84
2026-06-25 18:43 PLACED KXPRESNOMD-28-KH NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84

Limits

env config
MAX_POSITION$25
MAX_TOTAL$200
MAX_PER_EVENT1
ORDERS / CYCLE1
NO BAND75–92¢
POLL300s
MIN VOL / OI500
ORDER TYPEmaker

Settled — last 5

NO pays $1 when the dramatic outcome did not happen
MarketEntryResultQtyP&L
No settled trades yet — political markets can take months to resolve.

live · reads scanner.py + ledger.py · PROD DATA