NOTHING EVER HAPPENS

contrarian NO-tail harvester · kalshi · politics / world
DRY RUN · paper PROD DATA NO band 75–92¢ live · refresh in 60s
Paper bankroll
$200.00
cash free $0.29
Open exposure
$199.71
100% of $200 cap
Unrealized P&L
−$0.27
-0.14% on cost
Realized P&L
+$0.00
0 settled · 0 won
Diversification
9 / 9
positions across events · cap 1
Equity — paper, mark-to-market -0.27

Open positions

buy NO · hold to resolution
MarketEntryNowQtyCostUnreal.
Donald Trump out before 2027?
KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJT politics
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Donald Trump out before 2027?
KXTRUMPOUT27-27-DJTtheme US domestic politicsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in
KXPRESNOMD-28-KH elections
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in
KXPRESNOMD-28-KHtheme Elections / seatsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250
KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01 politics
92¢92¢27 $24.84+$0.00
Will bill that mandates the creation and issuance of a $250
KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01theme US domestic politicsentry 92¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal +$0.00
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let
KXAMEND22-29-JAN01 politics
89¢89¢28 $24.92+$0.00
Will the 22nd Amendment be repealed or reinterpreted to let
KXAMEND22-29-JAN01theme US domestic politicsentry 89¢now 89¢qty 28cost $24.92unreal +$0.00
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Pr
KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC elections
92¢91¢27 $24.84−$0.27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Vice Pr
KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOCtheme Elections / seatsentry 92¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.84unreal −$0.27
Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Co
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220 elections
91¢92¢27 $24.57+$0.27
Will the Republican Party win 218-222 seats in the 120th Co
KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 92¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal +$0.27
Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120
KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45 elections
91¢91¢27 $24.57+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party hold less than 45 seats in the 120
KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 91¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal +$0.00
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1
KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210 elections
91¢90¢27 $24.57−$0.27
Will the Democratic party win below 210 House seats in the 1
KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210theme Elections / seatsentry 91¢now 90¢qty 27cost $24.57unreal −$0.27
Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?
KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCA elections
86¢86¢2 $1.72+$0.00
Will Steve Scalise be the Republican nominee for LA-01?
KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCAtheme Elections / seatsentry 86¢now 86¢qty 2cost $1.72unreal +$0.00

Live scan — candidates

625 in band · top by NO ask × volume
MarketNO askNO bidVol 24hOICloses
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Jan 1, 2027?
KXELECTIONBILL-27JAN01
92¢92 1,161,295396,009 2027-01-01 would buy
Will legislation that requires proof of U.S. citizenship as a condition of registering to vote in federal elections become law before Jan 1, 2027?
KXELECTIONBILL-27JAN01NO ask 92¢NO bid 92spread vol 24h 1,161,295OI 396,009closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?
SENATEGA-26-R
92¢92 779,998588,981 2027-11-03 would buy
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Georgia?
SENATEGA-26-RNO ask 92¢NO bid 92spread vol 24h 779,998OI 588,981closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina?
SENATENC-26-R
92¢91 346,899271,257 2027-11-03 would buy
Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina?
SENATENC-26-RNO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread vol 24h 346,899OI 271,257closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWAL
92¢90 258,11869,755 2027-01-01 would buy
Will Tim Walz be charged with a any crime before Jan 1, 2027?
KXFEDERALCHARGE-27JAN01-TWALNO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread vol 24h 258,118OI 69,755closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?
KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31-27
92¢89 170,48953,849 2027-01-01 would buy
Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by Dec 31, 2026?
KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31-27NO ask 92¢NO bid 89spread vol 24h 170,489OI 53,849closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
KXCANTERRITORY-29
92¢90 141,10336,719 2029-01-21 would buy
Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?
KXCANTERRITORY-29NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread vol 24h 141,103OI 36,719closes 2029-01-21would buy
Will the United States add another state before date?
KXSTATE-29
92¢91 82,57322,723 2029-01-20 would buy
Will the United States add another state before date?
KXSTATE-29NO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread vol 24h 82,573OI 22,723closes 2029-01-20would buy
Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA
92¢92 78,91833,260 2027-01-02 would buy
Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRANO ask 92¢NO bid 92spread vol 24h 78,918OI 33,260closes 2027-01-02would buy
Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CUB
92¢91 47,12324,717 2027-01-01 would buy
Will Donald Trump visit Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
KXTRUMPCOUNTRIES-27JAN01-CUBNO ask 92¢NO bid 91spread vol 24h 47,123OI 24,717closes 2027-01-01would buy
Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
KXSCOURT-29-AC
92¢87 42,53219,305 2029-01-21 would buy
Will Aileen Cannon become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?
KXSCOURT-29-ACNO ask 92¢NO bid 87spread vol 24h 42,532OI 19,305closes 2029-01-21would buy
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama
GOVPARTYAL-26-D
92¢88 39,02431,357 2027-11-03 would buy
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama
GOVPARTYAL-26-DNO ask 92¢NO bid 88spread vol 24h 39,024OI 31,357closes 2027-11-03would buy
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?
KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20
92¢90 38,22312,367 2029-01-20 would buy
Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added before Jan 20, 2029?
KXCONSTAMEND-29-JAN20NO ask 92¢NO bid 90spread vol 24h 38,223OI 12,367closes 2029-01-20would buy

Concentration

by correlation theme
Elections / seats$125.11 · 63%
US domestic politics$74.60 · 37%
!

63% in one theme. Per-event cap is holding, but these positions resolve off correlated states of the world. Consider a per-theme cap before lifting MAX_TOTAL.

Activity

ledger events
2026-06-25 19:15 PLACED KXLAPRIMARY-01R26-SSCA NO ×2 @ 86¢ · $1.72
2026-06-25 19:10 PLACED KXDHOUSESEATS-27-210 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 19:05 PLACED KXDSENATESEATS-27-BELOW45 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 19:00 PLACED KXRHOUSESEATS-27-220 NO ×27 @ 91¢ · $24.57
2026-06-25 18:54 PLACED KXVPRESNOMD-28-AOC NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84
2026-06-25 18:49 PLACED KXAMEND22-29-JAN01 NO ×28 @ 89¢ · $24.92
2026-06-25 18:44 PLACED KX250DOLLARBILL-27-JAN01 NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84
2026-06-25 18:43 PLACED KXPRESNOMD-28-KH NO ×27 @ 92¢ · $24.84

Limits

env config
MAX_POSITION$25
MAX_TOTAL$200
MAX_PER_EVENT1
ORDERS / CYCLE1
NO BAND75–92¢
POLL300s
MIN VOL / OI500
ORDER TYPEmaker

Settled — last 5

NO pays $1 when the dramatic outcome did not happen
MarketEntryResultQtyP&L
No settled trades yet — political markets can take months to resolve.

live · reads scanner.py + ledger.py · PROD DATA